These favorites could end up on the losing end of Week 14 if they are not careful

According to NFL analyst Ben Baldwin’s fourth-down bot, that single decision to punt instead of going for it reduced the Chiefs’ win probability from 52 percent to 45 percent. It’s difficult for that big of a swing to take place on a single coach’s decision.

Chiefs vs. Colts radio coverage: Station, channel, streaming to listen live to NFL Week 12 game broadcast originally appeared on The Sporting News. Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here. The Kansas City Chiefs will look to bounce back from two consecutive losses as they host the red-hot Indianapolis Colts.

Stay tuned to this live blog for real-time updates on the Kansas City Chiefs' Week 13 matchup against the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day.

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs take on Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys in a Thanksgiving Day NFL matchup.

The Dallas Cowboys will visit the Detroit Lions on Thursday, with the loser's playoff chances taking a big hit. The Lions might have star wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown, who was listed as questionable on Wednesday's injury report with an ankle injury he suffered last week against the Green Bay Packers on Thanksgiving.

The SportsLine Projection Model managed by the Inside the Lines team at CBS Sports gives the Chiefs just a 38.3% chance to make the playoffs. In order for a bet on the Chiefs to be positive expected value, you would need to be getting +160 in the market, which means that the model sees the -130 to miss playoffs as a clear value bet.